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The Tariffs Are a Big Deal and Risks Are Very High

Tariffs are here and in a big, big way, much bigger than anyone expected. And the levels shared by President Trump aren’t really reciprocal tariffs. The calculation of new tariff rates is based on the trade deficit the US has with each country and has nothing to do with actual tariffs other …

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Market Commentary: Despite Initial Worry, Inflation Remains Well Controlled

 U.S. inflation rose 0.3% last month and is now up 1.4% for the year (Figure 1). Investor concern about inflation has increased in recent months against the backdrop of large stimulus packages and hopes of an economic recovery. Pushing back against that concern is a slowly recovering labor …

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